2000 Voter Turnout Case Study

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In the research conducted it is established that the relationship between voter turnout and partisan outcomes in the five cases of presidential elections observed is characterized by both regularities and change over time (Martinez, 2005). The case studies used are compared and contrasted to provide evidence to show when their theory is proven and when previous theories are proven. It is concluded that as a rule, Democrats do benefit from higher voter turnout (Martinez, 2005). Both the 1960 and the 1976 elections prove this, and suggest that the Democratic candidate would have lost if the turnout would have been lower (Martinez, 2005). To go along with the previous studies, the 2000 election benefited from low voter turnout rate, but with some research variation. However for the other two elections, 1964 and 1984, "there is a limit to the explanatory or determinative power of turnout" (Martinez, 2005). The 2000 election case study is the biggest piece of evidence proving their theory. The turnout rate during that election should have had the Democratic candidate win easily, but he did not. The "overall effects of turnout on the aggregate vote choice are pretty small", the relationship between turnout and the Democratic candidate's vote share was nearly flat (Martinez, 2005). Combing all of the five case studies and taken them together it is …show more content…
If there is no research done on the nomination process, how is one to properly examine the election, you do not know how it was the candidate got there? Taking into account the discrepancies during the nomination process, it is much easier to predict the likely outcome of the election. Which leads to the second article, by Martinez, that studies the change in partisanship over time and voter turnout rate.
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