Math Paper

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A series of Gambles & Unpredictable events
Math project 2
Author: Marines Silva
December 3, 2012
Math 146
Professor: Roxanne Tisch

A series of Gambles & Unpredictable events
Math project 2
Author: Marines Silva
December 3, 2012
Math 146
Professor: Roxanne Tisch

A series of Gambles &
Unpredictable events

A series of Gambles &
Unpredictable events

December 3, 2012
December 3, 2012
Introduction

L ife can sometimes be compare to as a series of gambles and unpredictable events,
Maybe even similar to the Russian roulette, where the odds and probabilities to succeed are limited and uncertain. Thus, is an inevitable part of life to make decisions without knowing all the premises are completely and entirely 100% correct. In this short book we will look how math can be use in real life events. I will try to explain the mathematical concepts I have learn while reading the book “ Conned Again, Watson” by Collin Bruce. We will embark in a series of events were you the reader will have the opportunity to choose the decision of the character, and experiencing how our decisions can become a series of unpredictable events.

Introduction

L ife can sometimes be compare to as a series of gambles and unpredictable events,
Maybe even similar to the Russian roulette, where the odds and probabilities to succeed are limited and uncertain. Thus, is an inevitable part of life to make decisions without knowing all the premises are completely and entirely 100% correct. In this short book we will look how math can be use in real life events. I will try to explain the mathematical concepts I have learn while reading the book “ Conned Again, Watson” by Collin Bruce. We will embark in a series of events were you the reader will have the opportunity to choose the decision of the character, and experiencing how our decisions can become a series of unpredictable events.

Chapter One
It was a cold winter night, in the city of Norwich Ct, a group of friends (Matt, John, and Felix) decided to test their luck by going on a boys night out to the casino. Both Math and John want to play the Russian Roulette. Yet, Felix a Math Major believes is a bad a idea to gamble at all. Felix tried to explain to his friends the concept of the Russian Roulette, and how the game work, yet his friends said to him “ Felix this is gambling we don’t need math to help us win” Felix reply: Well guys the Russian roulette is a game of chances you can either win or loose, and though all the games here are like that the odd of actually winning are lesser at this game than others I believe.”
The friends did not listen to Felix and decided to play the Russian Roulette, they believe in a system of watching the game for a while and writing the order of the winning for example, {R,R,R,B,0,R,B,R,R,00} and then betting on the color that appears the most. After observing the game they notice that red was the color that appear the most so they decided to bet on the red. Do you believe this system would work? Or Not?
If you believe this system will work keep reading if not jump to chapter 2.

It was the moment to test their hypothesis by betting on red. The dealer gave a spin on the wheel, with most expectation all three friends awaited to see if their method would allow them to win big or lose. Felix doubtful of a win closed his eyes as Matt and John cross their fingers. The dealer said is Black 21. Matt and John were disappointed to see that their method was faulty while Felix mocks them with an “ I told you so” phrase.
Thus, Matt and John were not whiling to loose hope, they decided that they can keep betting on red a couple of times because sooner or later red would appear. Matt said “Well lets do this we keep gambling on Red and hope to win and if we loose we gamble twice as much as the first time therefore we will recover what we lost while making a profit”. Seem like a nice method almost flawless reply Felix.
Matt and John
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