Week Three Paper

Decision of Uncertainty Paper
Applied Concepts to Formulate Decision freshly concerns taking place whether cell phones source brain tumors or cancer have been on widespread mind. very quickly similar to televisions, computers and whichever further electrical device, cell phones use radiofrequency energy emits electromagnetic radiation. This energy called ionizing is wrapped up by tissue and breaks the molecules apart, such as x-rays and can cause cancer. Because the cell phone is held close up to a person’s head, this causes fear. but, cell phones use non-ionizing radiation ("Cell Phones, Cancers and Brain Tumors. What is the REAL Story?", 2010).
Probability Concepts Cell phones carry out by using short power, less than one watt. The new phones are now digital these phones use a power level of 0.6 watts. When compared to a home microwave that uses between 600 and 1100 watts. Some experts state that even if the phone’s antenna is so close to the head, the six-tenths of a watt could not possibly have an effect on the human health. Some studies show there is no link between the cell phone use and brain cancer, however, some technical proof does live and according to Federal Drug Administration (FDA) suggests is worth additional studies. Some studies carry that cell phone radiation is not a substantial hazard, but proving that cell phones are absolutely safe will be near impossible ("Cell Phones, Cancers and Brain Tumors. What is the REAL Story?", 2010).
Outcome from Statistical Analysis investigate behavior lately showed that even though short-term experience to cell phone use may be safe, long-term cell phone use may be having damaging effects. Three studies conducted since 1999 completed that people who used cell phones for more than 10 years may have a three times greater risk of increasing a brain tumor on the same side of the head on which the person held his or her phone most often (Wenner, 2008).
Tradeoffs among Accuracy and Precision Statistically one in every 29,000 men and one in every 38,000 universal, one in 29,000 men and one in 38,000 women on regular build up brain tumors each year, with citizens in trade nations double as expected as those in upward countries to be diagnosed with one, according to the World Health Organization's International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) in Lyon, France. If cell phone use does, in fact, triple the probability of getting cancer, these stats would advise that over 60 years a man's risk of increasing a brain tumor from cell phone use increases from 0.206 percent to 0.621 percent, and a woman's from 0.156

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