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You should use this document as a quick reference for the Kinetic Concepts LBO model and webinar. We move quickly in the webinar, so you can follow along here and review the key steps afterwards.
Today's Session – Outline
1. Private Equity Case Studies 101
Common to get case studies based on recent/significant deals like this
In the real world you need to build models quickly
Figure out what to simplify – eliminate Balance Sheet, PPA, more complex debt schedules and
Revolver
2. Assumptions and Setup
Purchase and Exit Multiples, Fees, Minimum Cash, and % Debt Used
Debt Tranches, Interest Rates, and Annual Principal Repayment %
Sources & Uses only – skip Purchase Price Allocation and Goodwill
3. Income Statement Projections
Use provided revenue growth assumptions and averages for expenses
4. Cash Flow Statement Projections
Eliminate everything but Net Income, non-cash adjustments, working capital, and CapEx
Use 3-year averages as % of revenue for most of these items
5. Debt Schedules & Linking the Statements
Determine Cash Available for Debt Repayment
Use MIN Formulas for Mandatory and Optional Debt Repayments
Link Debt Repayments on CFS and Net Interest Expense on IS
6. Calculating Investor Returns & Sensitivities
Use IRR Function, Based on Exit Enterprise Value – Debt + Cash
7. Answering the Case Study Questions
Focus on the Numbers and use those to support your answers (limited time)
In particular, if Downside case looks really bad and Base case is not that great, it’s an easy “no invest” recommendation
Questions to Enhance Your Learning
Q: What’s the problem with the debt assumptions we entered in the beginning of the model?
Q: Why does the $6.8 billion under “Uses” in the Sources & Uses schedule not match the $6.5 billion in
“Funds Required” that KCI estimates?
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Kinetic Concepts Leveraged Buyout Model – Quick Reference Guide
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Q: What’s wrong with the formula we entered for optional repayment in this debt schedule?
Case Study Answers
1.
Based on the returns, would you invest in Kinetic Concepts along with Apax Partners? Why or why not? 2.
What is the most plausible way to make different assumptions if you want to target a higher IRR?
3.
How much does the company’s substantially different post-buyout performance affect the IRR and our investment recommendation?
4.
What are the advantages and disadvantages to simplifying the model the way we did and eliminating the balance sheet? When would you do this / not do